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tab-stops:list 18.0pt>宋体>●tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">本报实习记者"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">葛胜征tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">综合报道
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>2004tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">年全国汽车分析预测会近日在沈阳召开,专家预测:今年我国汽车的产量将超过425tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">万辆,预计明年将超过500tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:&
quot;Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">万辆。专家认为,目前我国的汽车保有量还很低,如果达到世界平均水平,我国应该有lang=EN-US>1.6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">亿辆汽车,是现在的9tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">倍。我国汽车市场还没有完全形成应有的规模,市场潜力巨大。
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">专家还认为,lang=EN-US>2004mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">年国产中高档轿车价格将继续下调,并进一步向国际同类车价靠拢;整车进口将在lang=EN-US>2003mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">年10tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">万余辆的基础上增加到16tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">万辆左右。lt
/p>
tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">品牌相对较少
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">在我们定义的平均价格在lang=EN-US>20mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">万元以上的国产中高档轿车市场,目前的品牌数量不多,只有别克君威、帕萨特、本田雅阁、风神蓝鸟、奥迪lang=EN-US>A6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">、现代索纳塔等几种,由于进口轿车多在lang=EN-US>30mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">万元以上,所以在20tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">~30宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">万元这个价格区间竞争还不至于像中低档车市场那样惨烈。
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">但是随着下半年市场多种新车型的陆续推出,比如福特蒙迪欧、马自达lang=EN-US>6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">、奥迪A4tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">、宝马3宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">系等,高档轿车的竞争也将日趋激烈,前期雅阁、别克、帕萨特不同程度的降价就说明了这一点。
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">中高档轿车市场因其利润丰厚,今年以来,也开始成为国内各轿车厂商拼杀的“战场”。去年年底开始,各大轿车厂商纷纷上马中高档轿车项目。
tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">形成四大阵营
o-char-indent-count:2.0;
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">今年前lang=EN-US>3mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">季度,在市场表现上,国内中高档轿车显露lang=EN-US>4mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">大阵营。从国内中高档轿车市场占有率来看,帕萨特,作为国内中高档轿车的“先入者”以lang=EN-US>24%mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">的较大比例位列首位。紧随其后的是新雅阁和君威两个“后来者”,市场占有率在lang=EN-US>18%mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">左右。而在第三阵营中,则包括奥迪lang=EN-US>A6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">、索纳塔和风神蓝鸟,平均低于第二阵营lang=EN-US>8mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">个百分点。最后,两位“新人”马自达lang=EN-US>6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman&
quot;>、奥迪A4tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">组成了第四阵营。
tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">走势比较平稳
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">国内中高档轿车在今年前lang=EN-US>3mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">季度产销方面表现了前高后平的走势。第二季度与第一季度相比,新雅阁、索纳塔、君威等品牌轿车去年年底投产之后产能开始逐渐释放,以及国产奥迪lang=EN-US>A4mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">、马自达6tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">在第二季度投放上市,使得产量和销量分别增加66%tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New R
oman">和75%宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">。而在第三季度,这一增长速度却一下降到了lang=EN-US>3.4%mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">和7%tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">。
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">今年前lang=EN-US>3mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">季度,销量增长速度始终大于产量增长速度,国内中高档轿车市场呈现需求旺盛的景象,整个市场仍然处于成长阶段。但第三季度增长速度明显放缓,也使我们看到,国内中高档轿车市场份额的不断增长,原因主要来自两个方面。一方面,今年以来,部分国内中高档轿车价格区间主动下调引起的连锁效应,吸引了一部分其他轿车市场消费群体;另一方面,国外中高档品牌轿车陆续引入国内生产,一定程度上起到了对进口车市场的替代效应。
tyle=font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman">价格波澜不惊
mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">虽然中高档轿车竞争逐渐激烈,
"Times New Roman">但是,有关专家同时认为,由于种种原因,中高档轿车价格不会有太大波动。
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">有业内人士具体分析了国产中高档车市稳定的原因:首先,国产中高档轿车均是跨国汽车巨头的当家产品,雅阁、帕萨特、马自达lang=EN-US>M6mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">的技术和配置及版本基本上和国际同步。年初新雅阁几乎是一步到位的低定价,迫使其他中高档轿车的定价也趋于合理稳定。今年中高档车格局基本上已由年初下线的雅阁、君威奠定,而且后起的品牌,如现代、蒙迪欧对市场的影响均不大。lang=EN-US>
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman">其次,今年下半年国内主流厂家产品开发重点向下延伸,经济型车与中级车成为开发重点,各家都在集中争抢汽车市场中家庭轿车最大的盘子,使中高档车竞争车型增加缓慢。
mso-char-indent-size:10.5pt>"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Time
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